What's Priced In: Current Market Expectations for Future Monetary Policy

Markets are currently pricing in the following probabilities for
future interest rate moves as of the close on Monday:

FED – OIS Implied Rates

Markets are pricing in a 22% chance of a 25bp hike by the next meeting
on Sept. 16.

Markets are pricing in a 38% chance of a 25bp hike by year-end.

Markets are pricing in a 100% chance of…

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